Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.2% | 62.8% | +2.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +12 (73-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Scherr | 38 | 8-15 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| B. Miles | 33 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -5 | - |
| A. Petty | 32 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | - |
| E. King | 29 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| S. Tyler | 26 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| C. Rowe | 23 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| E. Russell | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Walker | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Harris | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| O. Cochran | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| S. Taylor | 27 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | -1 | - |
| E. Love | 25 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| N. Rickards | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Curry | 20 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -2 | - |
| M. Russell | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Jefferson | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| E. Istanbulluoglu | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Gassett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter