Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.1% | 61.9% | +2.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors +12 (54-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Arkansas Sugar Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jade Upshaw | 33 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | -10.7 |
| Leah Mafua | 32 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -5.8 |
| Randrea Wright | 31 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | -11.0 |
| Bree Stephens | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -15.6 |
| Kinley Fisher | 23 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | -4.7 |
| Cheyenne Banks | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | +6.3 |
| Elizabeth Abiara | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -15.9 |
| Cheyanne Kemp | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +4.0 |
| J. Mafua | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Destine Duckworth | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anala Nelson | 34 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | +8.6 |
| C. Haywood | 28 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | +7.7 |
| S. Hale | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 16 | -0.4 |
| L. Foster | 24 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | +7.9 |
| S. Lin | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +14.9 |
| T. Douglas | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2.8 |
| A. Cater | 17 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | +4.8 |
| Alyssa Hargrove | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -0.2 |
| G. Smalls | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +11.8 |
* = starter