Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.0% | 99.0% | +25.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +18 (79-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Waite | 31 | 8-13 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 12 | - |
| M. Wong | 29 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| A. Aalsma | 22 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Bullman | 22 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Coffey | 20 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Wilson | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| S. McGowan | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Smith | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Dowell | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -4 | - |
| M. Lenz | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. James | 30 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| R. Baldwin | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| S. Rivers | 28 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| M. Collins | 27 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Z. Brooks | 23 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| M. Hayes | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| L. Steele | 17 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Cox | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Collier | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Peneueta | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Williamson | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Eissa | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter