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2023-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 26.5% 73.5% -
Bradley-Terry 17.2% 82.8% -
Margin 1.0% 99.0% +25.5 (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +18 (79-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Waite 31 8-13 6-9 1-1 2 1 0 0 1 23 12 -
M. Wong 29 3-7 1-2 1-1 1 5 0 0 4 8 3 -
A. Aalsma 22 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 6 5 -
K. Bullman 22 0-7 0-6 0-0 5 2 0 1 0 0 1 -
B. Coffey 20 1-2 1-2 3-4 4 0 0 0 1 6 7 -
D. Wilson 20 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 6 1 -
S. McGowan 18 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
D. Smith 15 2-3 1-1 3-4 3 0 0 1 2 8 7 -
S. Dowell 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 4 0 -4 -
M. Lenz 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. James 30 6-12 3-8 1-2 3 4 1 0 3 16 9 -
R. Baldwin 28 6-9 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 3 2 14 14 -
S. Rivers 28 3-9 2-3 1-2 4 6 1 0 0 9 11 -
M. Collins 27 6-10 1-1 0-1 5 1 0 0 1 13 8 -
Z. Brooks 23 3-7 2-4 1-2 2 2 2 0 1 9 7 -
M. Hayes 21 4-7 0-0 1-4 4 0 2 0 1 9 7 -
L. Steele 17 1-5 1-4 0-0 4 0 1 2 0 3 5 -
M. Cox 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
M. Collier 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
K. Peneueta 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Williamson 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
J. Eissa 1 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter