Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado Buffaloes | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.5% | 90.5% | +12.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +18 (78-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Sherrod | 34 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 10-10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Q. Miller | 33 | 2-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -7 | - |
| F. Formann | 27 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| M. Nolan | 24 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Vonleh | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | - |
| T. Sadler | 21 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Whittaker | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Wetta | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Smith | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. McLeod | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Johnson | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Rivers | 33 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| R. Baldwin | 32 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 20 | - |
| M. Hayes | 32 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| A. James | 30 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| M. Collins | 27 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Z. Brooks | 22 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| M. Cox | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Collier | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Steele | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Peneueta | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Eissa | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Williamson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter