Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.8% | 57.2% | +1.6 | ✓ (27.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +29 (84-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Miles | 30 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| S. Tyler | 29 | 3-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -4 | - |
| A. Jenkins | 29 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Petty | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| E. King | 22 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Scherr | 21 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| J. Walker | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| E. Russell | 16 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| C. Rowe | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Z. Thomas | 6 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Brooks | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| L. Steele | 22 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| M. Hayes | 21 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| M. Collins | 21 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| R. Baldwin | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| S. Rivers | 20 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| M. Cox | 20 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| A. James | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | - |
| M. Collier | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| K. Peneueta | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Williamson | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Eissa | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter