Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons +6 (81-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Dominguez * | 37 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| T. Todd * | 35 | 14-27 | 1-5 | 2-5 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 16 | - |
| C. Fields * | 34 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. Laku * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| F. Hicks * | 21 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| D. Ford | 32 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Felts | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| I. Nelson | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Lual | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hill * | 38 | 9-17 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 17 | - |
| D. Humphrey * | 31 | 8-11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| PJ Edwards * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Spurgin * | 23 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| R. Agee * | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| D. Phillip | 28 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Towns | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| DJ Smith | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. McComb III | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter