Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.1% | 87.9% | +10.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +20 (74-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Brooks * | 36 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| J. Telfort * | 32 | 5-15 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| P. Alexander * | 31 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 4-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| DJ Davis * | 28 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. Thomas * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| F. Bizjack | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Moore | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| A. Screen | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| B. Kapke | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Turnbull | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Walker * | 32 | 8-15 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | - |
| M. Hall * | 27 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| J. Akins * | 27 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| A. Hoggard * | 25 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| C. Cooper * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | - |
| J. Fears Jr. | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Holloman | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| M. Sissoko | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| C. Carr | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| X. Booker | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| N. Sanders | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Izzo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter