Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.2% | 25.8% | -8.3 | ✗ (13.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 89.3% | 10.7% | -11.7 | ✗ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.7% | 7.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +5 (80-75). Ratings: 2023-24 season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Roach * | 38 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Tyrese Proctor * | 33 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Jared McCain * | 32 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Kyle Filipowski * | 32 | 9-20 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Mark Mitchell Jr. * | 19 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Caleb Foster | 19 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| TJ Power | 13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Young | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Jaylen Blakes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sean Stewart | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Christian Reeves | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevon Brazile * | 38 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 21 | - |
| El Ellis * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Chandler Lawson * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Davonte Davis * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jeremiah Davenport * | 15 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Khalif Battle | 31 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 8-11 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Layden Blocker | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Makhi Mitchell | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Graham | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Baye Fall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter