Model Predictions
| Model | California Baptist Lancers | Tarleton State Texans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.5% | 59.5% | +2.1 | ✓ (14.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tarleton State Texans +17 (82-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Goodrick * | 37 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Washington * | 34 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | -18.8 |
| B. Tchoukuiegno * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 6-9 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 8 | -11.2 |
| C. Chiles * | 29 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -5.8 |
| Y. Ouedraogo * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | -7.1 |
| K. Coleman | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -7.2 |
| B. Stevenson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -9.0 |
| T. Riley | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -10.3 |
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Williams * | 38 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | +14.3 |
| D. Barnes * | 38 | 11-18 | 4-7 | 7-10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 25 | +13.8 |
| K. Gaddy * | 33 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +11.7 |
| J. Smith * | 27 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | +6.8 |
| E. Innocenti * | 19 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -3.3 |
| A. Moussa | 26 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 22 | +25.7 |
| T. Jackson | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +15.4 |
* = starter