Model Predictions
| Model | Grand Canyon Lopes | Tarleton State Texans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 78.7% | 21.3% | -7.2 | ✗ (10.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Tarleton State Texans +3 (77-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Grant-Foster * | 38 | 10-17 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 23 | -0.4 |
| C. Moore * | 32 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -2.7 |
| D. Brennan * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +2.9 |
| Player #4398356 * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| R. Harrison * | 27 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | -8.8 |
| L. Wur | 21 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +5.5 |
| J. Baker | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3.9 |
| J. Blacksher Jr. | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.0 |
| I. Shaw | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Innocenti * | 40 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | +4.4 |
| J. Smith * | 38 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 7-9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 17 | +0.4 |
| L. Williams * | 38 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | +12.1 |
| K. Gaddy * | 36 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-11 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 23 | +14.4 |
| D. Barnes * | 29 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 12-13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | +17.2 |
| A. Moussa | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -14.7 |
| T. Jackson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.9 |
| I. Miles | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 |
* = starter