Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Tarleton State Texans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.5% | 81.5% | +9.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.1% | 71.9% | +5.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tarleton State Texans +11 (75-64). Ratings: 2023-24 season-end ratings.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latrell Jossell * | 36 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 6-8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Jalil Beaubrun * | 28 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Chrishawn Christmas * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Hayman * | 24 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Clayton Southwick * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Frank Staine | 28 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Nana Antwi-Boasiako | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Juhlawnei Stone | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kimahri Wilson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| DaeVeon Scott | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lue Williams * | 38 | 8-12 | 5-6 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 25 | - |
| KiAndre Gaddy * | 37 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Devon Barnes * | 37 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 8-8 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Jakorie Smith * | 36 | 5-16 | 2-8 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Emmanuel Innocenti * | 32 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Izzy Miles | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Traivar Jackson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Miles Lewis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Bubu Benjamin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter