Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Tarleton State Texans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.3% | 92.7% | +16.6 | ✗ (19.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 14.9% | 85.1% | +9.6 | ✗ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Tarleton State Texans -3 (70-73). Ratings: 2023-24 season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Housley * | 38 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jamari Sibley * | 35 | 8-12 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Dominique Ford * | 34 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 10-14 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Z. Young * | 21 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Brock Felder * | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Prophet Johnson | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Chazz Hutchison | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Nestor Dyachok | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Robert Jeter Iv | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Innocenti * | 35 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Devon Barnes * | 34 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 9-11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 13 | - |
| KiAndre Gaddy * | 33 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Jakorie Smith * | 26 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Lue Williams * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Traivar Jackson | 14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Bubu Benjamin | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Miles Lewis | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dario Domingos | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Adam Moussa | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter