Model Predictions
| Model | Tarleton State Texans | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.9% | 7.1% | -18.9 | ✓ (14.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.9% | 10.1% | -12.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.9% | 8.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.9% | 8.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros -4 (73-77). Ratings: 2023-24 season-end ratings.
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lue Williams * | 40 | 13-21 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 12 | - |
| Emmanuel Innocenti * | 34 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Jakorie Smith * | 29 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| KiAndre Gaddy * | 28 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Devon Barnes * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Dario Domingos | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Adam Moussa | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Miles Lewis | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Traivar Jackson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Elliott * | 39 | 9-19 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 9 | - |
| Daylen Williams * | 35 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 14 | - |
| C.J. Booker * | 31 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J.J. Howard * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Ahren Freeman * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| S. Brashear | 23 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Saliou Seye | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | - |
| A. Horiuk | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter