Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Tarleton State Texans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.1% | 68.9% | +4.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.1% | 57.9% | +1.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tarleton State Texans +2 (78-76). Ratings: 2023-24 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makaih Williams * | 30 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Phillip Russell * | 30 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Player #4432891 * | 29 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Shemar Wilson * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Dwayne Koroma * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Akili Vining | 29 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Aaron Cash | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Brandyn Talbot | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kade Douglas | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Barnes * | 40 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Emmanuel Innocenti * | 38 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Lue Williams * | 33 | 5-11 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Jakorie Smith * | 21 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| KiAndre Gaddy * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Traivar Jackson | 25 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Bubu Benjamin | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Dario Domingos | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter