Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.9% | 73.1% | +5.5 | ✓ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +20 (82-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Marin | 38 | 7-18 | 7-9 | 10-12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 15 | - |
| Anya Choice | 38 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Alexis Whitfield | 29 | 4-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Skylar Burke | 29 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Laurel Rockwood | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Zoe Borter | 15 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Jessica Grant | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mary McMorris | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Hutchens | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Cabuena | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kanani Coon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Turner | 35 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Megan Norris | 33 | 9-15 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Mazatlan Harris | 30 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Nya Epps | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tova Sabel | 21 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Sydney Burns | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Gray | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bria Shine | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Victoria Baker | 11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| L. Svanholm | 4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Ally Fitzgerald | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Clara Glad | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter