Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.6% | 11.4% | -11.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners -16 (46-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Turner | 35 | 8-19 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Tova Sabel | 32 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Sydney Burns | 28 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Megan Norris | 24 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Mazatlan Harris | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Nya Epps | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Bria Shine | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| C. Gray | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Clara Glad | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| V. Baker | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Ally Fitzgerald | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Svanholm | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Ortiz | 40 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| S. Brown | 36 | 5-17 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | -3 | - |
| G. Freeman | 35 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| J. Olivares | 26 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Julia Riley | 23 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Johnson | 17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Amourie Porter | 11 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| M. Edwards | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Brooks | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter