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2023-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs Cal State Northridge Matadors Spread Result
Elo 35.4% 64.6% -
Bradley-Terry 28.4% 71.6% -
Margin 35.0% 65.0% +3.4 (28.4 off)
Pythagorean 3.5% 96.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.3% 82.7% -
Log Adjusted 18.0% 82.0% -

Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors -25 (43-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. McNicholas 35 3-11 1-2 0-0 8 5 1 0 2 7 8 -
A. Shah 32 6-13 2-6 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 14 8 -
S. Bourland 30 2-6 0-2 2-2 12 3 2 0 4 6 13 -
S. Lichtie 27 5-8 0-0 2-2 8 3 2 1 2 12 16 -
M. Carter 20 4-9 4-8 0-0 2 1 0 2 2 12 6 -
N. Ackerman 20 5-7 0-0 5-5 9 0 0 3 1 15 19 -
A. Olinger 18 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 0 -5 -
D. Richardson 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 3 0 0 2 4 -
J. Hoffman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Billing 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Adams 31 2-11 0-2 0-0 2 2 3 2 3 4 -1 -
L. Amundsen 28 0-6 0-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
T. Li-Uperesa 26 1-3 1-1 0-0 3 1 1 3 0 3 8 -
A. Ferguson 25 5-15 4-7 2-2 3 2 0 0 5 16 1 -
R. Harvey 24 3-3 0-0 0-3 2 2 3 0 2 6 8 -
K. Spriggs 22 2-5 0-0 1-4 5 1 0 1 2 5 5 -
A. De Jesus 19 4-8 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 9 1 -
O. Smith 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 0 4 -
A. Lizama 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter