Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Irvine Anteaters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.4% | 96.6% | +18.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters +14 (82-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hyder * | 37 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +1.1 |
| Player #4702352 * | 36 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Q. Jones * | 33 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Justin Page * | 30 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +19.8 |
| J. Armotrading * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Price Jr. | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Jaakkola | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +2.0 |
| H. Jory | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +7.2 |
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Henry * | 27 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | +2.0 |
| Pierre Crockrell II * | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | -2.0 |
| Devin Tillis * | 23 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -0.0 |
| Dean Keeler * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -0.0 |
| Dylan Thoerner * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -0.0 |
| Justin Hohn | 21 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Derin Saran | 20 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | -3.0 |
| Bent Leuchten | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +7.0 |
| Carter Welling | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Langston Redfield | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Ofure Ujadughele | 8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
| Hayden Welling | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -8.0 |
* = starter