Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.8% | 45.2% | -1.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -6 (78-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrington Hargress * | 35 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 15 | +11.9 |
| Nate Pickens * | 33 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +4.0 |
| Isaiah Moses * | 32 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +12.0 |
| Kaleb Smith * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +6.9 |
| Kyle Owens * | 19 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | +8.0 |
| Wil Tattersall | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +5.0 |
| Vladimer Salaridze | 13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +5.0 |
| Jhaylon Martinez | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +3.0 |
| Luke Turner | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.6 |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hyder * | 40 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | -11.9 |
| Player #4702352 * | 37 | 12-19 | 2-5 | 9-10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 19 | - |
| Q. Jones * | 31 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Justin Page * | 28 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +0.6 |
| T. Jaakkola * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -5.0 |
| Aaron Price Jr. | 27 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Armotrading | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| H. Jory | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
| I. Spears | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Haller | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter