Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.0% | 62.0% | +2.7 | ✗ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors -1 (65-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Pepper * | 36 | 1-10 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | +3.1 |
| Ty Johnson * | 34 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 18 | +1.9 |
| Kane Milling * | 31 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | -2.7 |
| Niko Rocak * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +6.1 |
| Ade Adebayo * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -8.0 |
| Leo DeBruhl | 32 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +5.1 |
| Pablo Tamba | 13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +6.1 |
| Sione Lose | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.9 |
| Francesco Borra | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dionte Bostick * | 40 | 10-16 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | -1.0 |
| Keonte Jones * | 39 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -3.2 |
| Gianni Hunt * | 33 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | +1.7 |
| De'Sean Allen-Eikens * | 33 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 12 | -3.4 |
| Mahmoud Fofana * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -7.1 |
| Bryan Ndjonga | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +7.9 |
| Jared Barnett | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Dearon Tucker | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +2.0 |
* = starter