Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.0% | 74.0% | +5.8 | ✗ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -6 (61-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrington Hargress * | 37 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | +8.3 |
| Isaiah Moses * | 34 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | +10.5 |
| Kyle Owens * | 27 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | +3.5 |
| Nate Pickens * | 27 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +4.6 |
| Kaleb Smith * | 26 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 | +4.6 |
| Wil Tattersall | 16 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +3.7 |
| Luke Turner | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3.2 |
| Vladimer Salaridze | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | +1.9 |
| Jhaylon Martinez | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Pepper * | 36 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | -4.4 |
| Ty Johnson * | 33 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 15 | -5.6 |
| Kane Milling * | 33 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | -1.4 |
| Niko Rocak * | 25 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | +1.5 |
| Ade Adebayo * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -13.7 |
| Leo DeBruhl | 20 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | -5.7 |
| Sione Lose | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +3.2 |
| Connor Sevilla | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +4.1 |
| Francesco Borra | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.0 |
| Pablo Tamba | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
* = starter