Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.1% | 84.9% | +9.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +13 (78-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4702352 * | 38 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| J. Hyder * | 31 | 1-12 | 1-9 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| T. Jaakkola * | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Q. Jones * | 19 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| A. Price Jr. * | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| P. Bizimana | 26 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Armotrading | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| J. Page | 19 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Prukop | 17 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| H. Jory | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bostick * | 39 | 9-12 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 20 | - |
| D. Allen-Eikens * | 36 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 12 | - |
| K. Jones * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | - |
| G. Hunt * | 31 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| M. Fofana * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Barnett | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| B. Ndjonga | 9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| J. Sangha | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Tucker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Frelow | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter