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UC Davis Aggies 59
@
Cal Poly Mustangs 52
2024-02-03

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies Cal Poly Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 67.7% 32.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 73.8% 26.2% - ✓
Margin 67.8% 32.2% -4.1 ✓ (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 82.7% 17.3% - ✓
Efficiency 91.5% 8.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 93.1% 6.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 93.2% 6.8% - ✓

Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -7 (52-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Pepper * 37 5-17 2-6 4-4 8 2 2 0 1 16 10 -
K. Milling * 34 1-6 0-2 0-1 5 3 1 0 0 2 5 -
N. Rocak * 31 2-4 0-0 1-3 9 1 2 2 1 5 14 -
Ty Johnson * 23 3-9 2-5 5-5 2 1 2 0 1 13 8 -
P. Tamba * 10 1-4 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
S. Lose 29 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 0 -2 -
L. DeBruhl 18 3-6 0-0 1-1 6 4 1 1 5 7 8 -
F. Borra 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 2 4 -
C. Sevilla 8 4-4 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 10 6 -

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Player #4702352 * 37 4-11 1-3 5-7 2 4 2 0 6 14 5 -
Q. Jones * 35 3-10 1-3 1-2 8 3 3 1 1 8 12 -
J. Armotrading * 35 2-6 0-0 6-11 13 1 1 4 3 10 20 -
A. Price Jr. * 20 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 2 6 -
A. Prukop * 20 0-7 0-6 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 -4 -
J. Page 22 3-7 2-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 8 2 -
P. Bizimana 13 1-1 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
H. Jory 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
C. Haller 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
I. Spears 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter