Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.3% | 8.7% | -12.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -14 (59-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Tillis * | 28 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| A. Henry * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Hohn * | 26 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| P. Crockrell II * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| B. Leuchten * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Saran | 20 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| D. Keeler | 16 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| O. Ujadughele | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Thoerner | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Redfield | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Welling | 11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4702352 * | 35 | 9-17 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 9 | - |
| Q. Jones * | 32 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -3 | - |
| A. Prukop * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| A. Price Jr. * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| T. Jaakkola * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| P. Bizimana | 29 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Armotrading | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Page | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| H. Jory | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Haller | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter