Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✓ (17.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +20 (95-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianni Hunt * | 34 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| De'Sean Allen-Eikens * | 34 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Dionte Bostick * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Keonte Jones * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Dearon Tucker * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Bryan Ndjonga | 24 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Mahmoud Fofana | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jasman Sangha | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jared Barnett | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Frelow | 6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kane Milling * | 34 | 9-19 | 6-14 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 10 | - |
| Ade Adebayo * | 29 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Elijah Pepper * | 28 | 5-12 | 4-11 | 6-6 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Ty Johnson * | 25 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 3-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Niko Rocak * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Francesco Borra | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Leo DeBruhl | 17 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Sione Lose | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Pablo Tamba | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Connor Sevilla | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Sam Manu | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Drew Carter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter