Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.5% | 76.5% | +6.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders +15 (71-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Spears * | 37 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Q. Jones * | 29 | 3-12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| T. Jaakkola * | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| J. Page * | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| A. Price Jr. * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| H. Jory | 24 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| P. Bizimana | 19 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| J. Armotrading | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| A. Prukop | 16 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| C. Haller | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hargress * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| I. Moses * | 32 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | - |
| K. Owens * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| N. Pickens * | 26 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| K. Smith | 24 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| W. Tattersall | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| N. Olabode | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| V. Salaridze | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Martinez | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter