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2024-01-04

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies UC Riverside Highlanders Spread Result
Elo 62.7% 37.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 51.4% 48.6% - โœ“
Margin 51.4% 48.6% -0.3 โœ“ (19.7 off)
Pythagorean 65.5% 34.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 63.1% 36.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 74.9% 25.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 75.1% 24.9% - โœ“

Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -20 (63-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ade Adebayo * 30 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 2 3 0 2 2 6 -
Leo DeBruhl * 30 4-4 2-2 4-4 4 4 0 0 2 14 16 -
Elijah Pepper * 29 10-15 5-8 6-7 8 2 1 0 3 31 24 -
Kane Milling * 28 4-8 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 8 2 -
Niko Rocak * 20 2-7 0-3 1-1 5 2 0 2 0 5 7 -
Sione Lose 25 1-1 1-1 3-6 3 4 1 0 1 6 12 -
Pablo Tamba 15 1-3 0-1 5-8 5 1 0 0 0 7 10 -
Connor Sevilla 11 2-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 6 3 -
Francesco Borra 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 4 7 -
Sam Manu 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Drew Carter 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UC Riverside Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Barrington Hargress * 34 1-10 1-5 3-4 2 4 2 0 1 6 3 -
Isaiah Moses * 31 3-10 1-5 2-2 3 7 4 0 1 9 12 -
Kyle Owens * 29 3-8 2-3 9-11 10 1 0 0 1 17 19 -
Wil Tattersall * 23 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Nate Pickens 20 2-11 0-5 4-4 1 1 0 0 1 8 -2 -
Luke Turner 11 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 0 -
Kaleb Smith 11 1-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
Vladimer Salaridze 11 0-3 0-3 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 1 1 -
Niyi Olabode 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Jhaylon Martinez 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter