Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.0% | 85.0% | +9.5 | ✓ (15.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +25 (71-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hyder * | 36 | 5-17 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | - |
| A. Price Jr. * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Q. Jones * | 30 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Player #4702352 * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 3 | - |
| T. Jaakkola * | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Armotrading | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Prukop | 16 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| J. Page | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| P. Bizimana | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Haller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Spears | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| H. Jory | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Pepper * | 33 | 9-18 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Ty Johnson * | 32 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K. Milling * | 28 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| A. Adebayo * | 20 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| N. Rocak * | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| F. Borra | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| L. DeBruhl | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Lose | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| P. Tamba | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| C. Sevilla | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Manu | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter