Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.2% | 26.8% | -5.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -8 (74-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Thomas * | 37 | 8-16 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 21 | +9.4 |
| Zach Bloch * | 29 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +11.4 |
| Jaron Rillie * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -2.3 |
| Brock Wisne * | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +3.1 |
| Riley Abercrombie * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -5.7 |
| Dejour Reaves | 28 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | +7.5 |
| Langston Reynolds | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +7.8 |
| Theo Hughes | 21 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +4.0 |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trenton Mclaughlin * | 37 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | -11.1 |
| Oakland Fort * | 33 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 3 | -6.4 |
| C. Basham * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | -4.1 |
| Jayden Jackson * | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -4.7 |
| Liam Lloyd * | 21 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -2.3 |
| Arman Madi | 15 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +6.7 |
| Diego Campisano | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -2.3 |
| Ryan Abelman | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6.5 |
| R. Reynolds | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4.8 |
| I. Kai | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -2.9 |
| C.J. Ford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter