Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.3% | 67.7% | +4.1 | ✓ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +19 (88-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Patterson * | 39 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -20.8 |
| Eddie Turner III * | 37 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | -32.9 |
| Player #4701583 * | 35 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Brian Goracke * | 35 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -1.6 |
| Brandon Walker * | 24 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 9 | -3.0 |
| Sam Lecholat | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -14.3 |
| Chika Nduka | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.9 |
| Jaden Geron | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Jed Miller | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +1.0 |
| John Olmsted | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.0 |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aanen Moody * | 37 | 9-17 | 5-9 | 6-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 17 | +19.8 |
| Dischon Thomas * | 36 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 24 | +21.4 |
| Josh Vazquez * | 35 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 9 | +18.4 |
| Brandon Whitney * | 33 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +18.1 |
| Laolu Oke * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 20 | +15.4 |
| Jaxon Nap | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +2.6 |
| Chase Henderson | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -0.1 |
| Giordan Williams | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -3.2 |
| Te'Jon Sawyer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.9 |
| Caden Bateman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Adam Shoff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Rhett Reynolds | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Connor Dick | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
* = starter