Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.2% | 31.8% | -4.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.3% | 7.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +5 (76-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Goracke * | 39 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Player #4701583 * | 38 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Tyler Patterson * | 37 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Walker * | 27 | 8-18 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 6 | - |
| Eddie Turner III * | 24 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Sam Lecholat | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Chika Nduka | 8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Jaden Geron | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Olmsted | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trenton Mclaughlin * | 39 | 8-17 | 4-10 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 9 | - |
| Oakland Fort * | 37 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Liam Lloyd * | 35 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| C. Basham * | 32 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Jayden Jackson * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| I. Kai | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Diego Campisano | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Reynolds | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Abelman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tichyque Musaka | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter