Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.0% | 62.0% | +2.7 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +16 (87-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Moody * | 35 | 10-22 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 12 | - |
| B. Whitney * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| L. Oke * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| J. Vazquez * | 22 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Thomas * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| G. Williams | 25 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Henderson | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| T. Sawyer | 16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Nap | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rillie * | 33 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| S. Thomas * | 31 | 10-18 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 20 | - |
| B. Wisne * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| R. Abercrombie * | 25 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Z. Bloch * | 24 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| D. Reaves | 32 | 10-15 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 18 | - |
| L. Reynolds | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Hughes | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter