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2024-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats Northern Colorado Bears Spread Result
Elo 58.1% 41.9% -
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% -
Margin 32.4% 67.6% +4.1 (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% -
Efficiency 39.2% 60.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.0% 58.0% -
Log Adjusted 42.4% 57.6% -

Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +3 (73-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Player #4701583 * 38 10-17 4-9 0-0 6 3 2 0 3 24 15 -
B. Goracke * 35 2-11 0-3 0-0 4 2 1 1 1 4 0 -
T. Patterson * 35 1-6 1-3 2-2 1 2 2 0 1 5 3 -
E. Turner III * 31 3-8 0-1 0-0 6 4 5 0 2 6 11 -
B. Walker * 19 3-10 1-1 1-2 4 3 1 0 1 8 5 -
S. Lecholat 24 4-7 3-3 2-2 6 0 1 3 1 13 15 -
C. Nduka 15 3-4 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 7 4 -
J. Geron 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
J. Olmsted 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Rillie * 33 4-8 2-2 2-2 6 4 2 0 1 12 15 -
S. Thomas * 32 4-10 0-2 4-4 7 5 2 4 5 12 15 -
Z. Bloch * 26 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 3 4 -
R. Abercrombie * 24 4-10 1-6 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 11 5 -
B. Wisne * 21 5-8 0-0 1-2 7 2 0 2 2 11 12 -
D. Reaves 30 9-15 1-4 2-2 5 2 1 0 2 21 12 -
T. Hughes 19 1-2 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 2 2 3 9 -
L. Reynolds 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
C. Creech 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter