Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.3% | 26.7% | -5.5 | ✓ (22.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -28 (66-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Moody * | 30 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| J. Vazquez * | 28 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| B. Whitney * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| D. Thomas * | 23 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| L. Oke * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| G. Williams | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Nap | 19 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. Sawyer | 13 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| C. Henderson | 11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Shoff | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Reynolds | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Lloyd * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Jackson * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| T. McLaughlin * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| C. Basham * | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| O. Fort * | 18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| R. Abelman | 17 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Campisano | 13 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| I. Kai | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Musaka | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Madi | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C.J. Ford | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Reynolds | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter