Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Idaho State Bengals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.0% | 79.0% | +7.3 | ✓ (20.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Idaho State Bengals +28 (68-40). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Kovatchev * | 31 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Zee Hamoda * | 29 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Bowyn Beatty * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Emil Skytta * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Akol Mawein * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Austin Patterson | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Duncan Powell | 17 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -4 | - |
| Michael Wilson | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jacob Holt | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Bailey Nunn | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maleek Arington * | 36 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Brayden Parker * | 31 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Isaiah Griffin * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Kiree Huie * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Miguel Tomley * | 27 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| AJ Burgin | 22 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Briggs Ranstrom | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Gavin Gilstrap | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Hansen | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trent Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| James Bodily | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Turner Livingston | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter