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2024-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Montana State Bobcats Spread Result
Elo 30.9% 69.1% -
Bradley-Terry 56.3% 43.7% -
Margin 43.8% 56.2% +1.4 (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 53.2% 46.8% -
Efficiency 65.0% 35.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.5% 35.5% -
Log Adjusted 65.1% 34.9% -

Actual: Montana State Bobcats -10 (77-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Vazquez * 39 5-8 2-3 2-2 6 1 2 1 2 14 14 -
B. Whitney * 38 6-14 0-0 3-3 6 6 0 0 1 15 12 -
A. Moody * 36 6-9 4-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 16 8 -
D. Thomas * 25 3-6 0-1 1-2 3 1 1 1 3 7 4 -
L. Oke * 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
J. Nap 22 4-5 2-3 7-8 4 3 0 0 0 17 19 -
T. Sawyer 15 7-8 1-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 2 16 10 -
G. Williams 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Dick 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Goracke * 40 6-12 1-4 0-1 6 0 0 2 1 13 8 -
Player #4701583 * 38 12-18 3-4 3-3 7 3 5 0 3 30 24 -
T. Patterson * 37 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -
E. Turner III * 31 4-10 0-1 4-5 2 3 0 1 1 12 7 -
B. Walker * 24 8-8 1-1 1-2 4 1 1 0 4 18 12 -
C. Nduka 12 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
J. Geron 11 0-2 0-2 2-2 0 2 0 0 1 2 1 -
S. Lecholat 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter