Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.7% | 56.3% | +1.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +9 (90-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Thomas * | 39 | 9-19 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Jaron Rillie * | 35 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Zach Bloch * | 31 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Brock Wisne * | 27 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Riley Abercrombie * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Langston Reynolds | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Dejour Reaves | 18 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Theo Hughes | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Juju Ramirez | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4701583 * | 37 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Brian Goracke * | 35 | 7-10 | 3-3 | 8-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Eddie Turner III * | 35 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Tyler Patterson * | 32 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Walker * | 26 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Jaden Geron | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chika Nduka | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Sam Lecholat | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter