🐻⬇️🏀

Northern Colorado Bears 81
@
Montana State Bobcats 90
2024-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Montana State Bobcats Spread Result
Elo 26.6% 73.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 52.8% 47.2% - ✗
Margin 43.7% 56.3% +1.4 ✓ (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% - ✓
Efficiency 54.8% 45.2% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 52.0% 48.0% - ✗
Log Adjusted 51.6% 48.4% - ✗

Actual: Montana State Bobcats +9 (90-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Thomas * 39 9-19 3-8 6-6 8 2 1 0 3 27 16 -
J. Rillie * 35 2-8 0-2 2-2 4 8 0 0 2 6 8 -
Z. Bloch * 31 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 6 4 -
B. Wisne * 27 9-10 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 1 1 19 13 -
R. Abercrombie * 17 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
L. Reynolds 21 3-5 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 8 3 -
D. Reaves 18 4-11 2-6 1-2 3 1 1 1 2 11 4 -
T. Hughes 10 1-1 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 1 1 2 2 -
J. Ramirez 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Player #4701583 * 37 6-13 1-5 1-4 12 3 4 0 3 14 17 -
B. Goracke * 35 7-10 3-3 8-8 4 2 1 0 3 25 19 -
E. Turner III * 35 7-12 2-3 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 18 11 -
T. Patterson * 32 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 3 2 -1 -
B. Walker * 26 8-11 0-0 6-7 5 5 0 0 0 22 21 -
J. Geron 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Nduka 14 2-3 0-0 1-3 1 1 2 0 2 5 4 -
S. Lecholat 7 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter