Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.9% | 88.1% | +11.0 | ✓ (32.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +43 (90-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. McLaughlin * | 29 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -7 | - |
| C. Basham * | 25 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| C.J. Ford * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Jackson * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Campisano * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| O. Fort | 23 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| L. Lloyd | 17 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| R. Reynolds | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Madi | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| R. Abelman | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Kai | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Moody * | 32 | 7-12 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| B. Whitney * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 16 | - |
| J. Vazquez * | 25 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Thomas * | 22 | 8-14 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 11 | - |
| L. Oke * | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 17 | - |
| J. Nap | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Henderson | 18 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -5 | - |
| T. Sawyer | 17 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| B. Jones | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Dick | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Reynolds | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Bateman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Shoff | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter