Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.8% | 85.2% | +9.6 | ✓ (19.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +29 (79-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trenton Mclaughlin * | 30 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Diego Campisano * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jayden Jackson * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Liam Lloyd * | 21 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -5 | - |
| Oakland Fort * | 19 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| C.J. Ford | 24 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| C. Basham | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| I. Kai | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Reynolds | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Abelman | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Arman Madi | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Patterson * | 32 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Player #4701583 * | 31 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Brian Goracke * | 23 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Eddie Turner III * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Walker * | 23 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Sam Lecholat | 28 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jaden Geron | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Chika Nduka | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jed Miller | 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| John Olmsted | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Carter Ash | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter