Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✗ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies -6 (92-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Thomas * | 43 | 13-20 | 2-5 | 9-11 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 39 | - |
| J. Rillie * | 42 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| R. Abercrombie * | 32 | 1-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Z. Bloch * | 30 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Wisne * | 27 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| D. Reaves | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| T. Hughes | 13 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| L. Reynolds | 10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Ramirez | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Creech | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Whitney * | 42 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 13 | - |
| A. Moody * | 41 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 1 | - |
| J. Vazquez * | 40 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| D. Thomas * | 38 | 8-18 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 16 | - |
| L. Oke * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Sawyer | 22 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| J. Nap | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| G. Williams | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| B. Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter