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2024-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 36.5% 63.5% -
Bradley-Terry 39.5% 60.5% -
Margin 37.8% 62.2% +2.7 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% -
Efficiency 36.2% 63.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.1% 65.9% -
Log Adjusted 33.1% 66.9% -

Actual: Montana Grizzlies -6 (92-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Thomas * 43 13-20 2-5 9-11 14 4 1 3 0 37 39 -
J. Rillie * 42 6-14 1-2 5-6 5 5 3 0 1 18 16 -
R. Abercrombie * 32 1-10 1-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 3 -2 -
Z. Bloch * 30 1-3 0-2 0-1 3 1 0 1 1 2 3 -
B. Wisne * 27 7-8 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 15 9 -
D. Reaves 24 4-9 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 0 0 9 5 -
T. Hughes 13 5-6 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 12 11 -
L. Reynolds 10 0-4 0-0 0-0 0 2 2 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Ramirez 4 1-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Creech 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Whitney * 42 8-16 1-4 7-7 4 3 0 1 3 24 13 -
A. Moody * 41 4-10 2-5 0-0 3 2 0 1 5 10 1 -
J. Vazquez * 40 5-10 4-8 2-2 8 2 2 0 1 16 17 -
D. Thomas * 38 8-18 3-7 3-3 10 5 0 0 3 22 16 -
L. Oke * 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 4 -
T. Sawyer 22 6-9 1-1 2-3 5 2 0 1 0 15 14 -
J. Nap 15 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
G. Williams 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
B. Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter