Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.0% | 88.0% | +11.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +15 (92-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Campisano * | 33 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| O. Fort * | 29 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| T. McLaughlin * | 25 | 6-15 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 9 | - |
| L. Lloyd * | 25 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Jackson * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| C.J. Ford | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Wistrcill | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Basham | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| I. Kai | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| R. Reynolds | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Abelman | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Madi | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Musaka | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Abercrombie * | 32 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Z. Bloch * | 32 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| J. Rillie * | 31 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| B. Wisne * | 26 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| S. Thomas * | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| L. Reynolds | 29 | 7-7 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| T. Hughes | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Creech | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Cameron | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. McCreary | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Ramirez | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Page | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter