Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Oregon Ducks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.6% | 71.4% | +5.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon Ducks +14 (68-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Kelly * | 40 | 5-15 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Taylor Hendricks * | 36 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Ithiel Horton * | 35 | 3-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Darius Johnson * | 24 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Suggs | 25 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jayhlon Young | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Lahat Thioune | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Thierno Sylla | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keeshawn Barthelemy * | 39 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 10 | - |
| R. Soares * | 36 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Q. Guerrier * | 34 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Nate Bittle * | 26 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Lok Wur * | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Williams | 25 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Ware | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Gabe Reichle | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter