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2023-03-15

Model Predictions

Model UCF Knights Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 53.4% 46.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 43.1% 56.9% - โœ—
Margin 38.1% 61.9% +2.7 โœ— (20.7 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 65.2% 34.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 54.8% 45.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 54.5% 45.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.5% 55.5% - โœ—

Actual: Florida Gators -18 (49-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taylor Hendricks * 36 8-11 1-2 0-0 8 0 2 2 2 17 16 -
C.J. Kelly * 34 9-13 2-4 1-2 4 2 0 0 3 21 11 -
Ithiel Horton * 28 5-10 2-6 0-0 4 1 3 0 3 12 7 -
Darius Johnson * 27 2-5 0-2 0-0 3 3 5 0 4 4 6 -
Lahat Thioune 22 1-6 0-0 0-0 10 2 1 0 1 2 8 -
Brandon Suggs 17 2-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 6 9 -
Jayhlon Young 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tyem Freeman 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
Thierno Sylla 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
PJ Edwards 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Poohpha Warakulnukroh 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Riley Kugel * 30 4-12 3-6 2-4 2 1 0 0 3 13 1 -
Will Richard * 29 2-4 0-1 0-0 7 1 2 0 0 4 10 -
Myreon Jones * 27 1-6 1-4 3-3 1 2 2 0 2 6 3 -
Kyle Lofton * 27 1-4 0-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 5 2 -1 -
Jason Jitoboh * 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 4 2 -
Niels Lane 16 3-7 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 6 1 -
Alex Fudge 16 2-10 0-3 0-0 4 0 1 2 0 4 1 -
Kowacie Reeves 15 1-7 0-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 2 -3 -
Aleksander Szymczyk 14 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 2 5 -
Denzel Aberdeen 8 2-3 0-1 2-3 0 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
Trey Bonham 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter