Model Predictions
| Model | Portland State Vikings | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.9% | 94.1% | +15.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets +18 (60-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esmeralda Morales | 38 | 2-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Alaya Fitzgerald | 35 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| J. Lewis | 31 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| S. Schultz | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. 'Uhila | 25 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. McCartney | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Rhema Ogele | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Canzobre | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sofia Llanos | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Winter | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brooklyn Strandy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Boston | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Dean | 37 | 7-19 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Katie Peneueta | 35 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| J. Olivares | 35 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Isnelle Natabou | 35 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 16 | - |
| K. Randhawa | 33 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| S. Amusan | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kaylie Edge | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Muggeridge | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Benthe Versteeg | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter