Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.4% | 68.6% | +4.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +11 (84-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Johnson II | 34 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Dalton Knecht * | 37 | 11-20 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Matt Johnson II * | 34 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Connor Creech * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Theo Hughes * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Caleb Shaw | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jamel Melvin | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Langston Reynolds | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brock Wisne | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Fuller * | 34 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Raequan Battle * | 33 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Darius Brown II * | 31 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Jubrile Belo * | 25 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Tyler Patterson * | 25 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Robert Ford III | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Great Osobor | 17 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Nick Gazelas | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sam Lecholat | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter