Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Kansas State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.7% | 7.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.4% | 31.6% | -4.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kansas State Wildcats +5 (98-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Walker * | 41 | 6-16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | - |
| A.J. Hoggard * | 40 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 10-11 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Joey Hauser * | 38 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Jaden Akins * | 38 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Mady Sissoko * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Malik Hall | 32 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Carson Cooper | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tre Holloman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jaxon Kohler | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyontae Johnson * | 45 | 10-18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Markquis Nowell * | 43 | 7-18 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 27 | - |
| Camryn Carter * | 37 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Desi Sills * | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Ismael Massoud | 27 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| David N'Guessan | 17 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Abayomi Iyiola | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter