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2023-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 13.0% 87.0% -
Bradley-Terry 17.5% 82.5% -
Margin 9.6% 90.4% +12.3 (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 35.2% 64.8% -
Efficiency 13.8% 86.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.3% 97.7% -
Log Adjusted 2.3% 97.7% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +23 (88-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Black * 37 5-12 1-3 9-11 4 1 5 0 2 20 16 -
R. Council IV * 34 4-12 1-3 8-9 3 2 0 1 2 17 9 -
D. Davis * 29 1-10 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 3 -6 -
N. Smith Jr. * 25 4-9 2-3 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 11 3 -
K. Johnson * 17 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 0 0 5 -
J. Walsh 20 1-5 0-2 0-1 0 0 1 0 1 2 -3 -
M. Mitchell 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 -2 -
J. Graham 9 2-2 0-0 1-3 4 0 1 1 0 5 9 -
D. Ford 5 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
J. Pinion 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Dunning Jr. 3 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
M. Mitchell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Arbogast 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Blake 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Jackson Jr. * 33 3-5 1-1 0-0 8 7 3 0 3 7 17 -
T. Newton * 31 2-6 2-3 0-0 6 7 0 0 4 6 9 -
A. Karaban * 28 5-5 0-0 1-1 7 1 2 0 1 11 15 -
J. Hawkins * 28 6-13 3-9 9-9 2 3 1 0 1 24 16 -
A. Sanogo * 24 9-11 0-0 0-2 8 1 0 2 3 18 15 -
N. Alleyne 19 2-4 2-3 4-4 1 2 1 0 0 10 10 -
D. Clingan 13 2-2 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 1 3 5 5 -
J. Calcaterra 12 1-6 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 0 -
H. Diarra 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
A. Roumoglou 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Hurley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Johnson Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Y. Hasson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Springs 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter