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2023-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 72.5% 27.5% -
Bradley-Terry 62.3% 37.7% -
Margin 64.4% 35.6% -3.3 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% -
Efficiency 25.0% 75.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.9% 66.1% -
Log Adjusted 33.6% 66.4% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins -3 (76-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Timme * 38 16-24 1-1 3-6 13 4 0 2 4 36 27 -
J. Strawther * 38 5-15 3-8 3-5 10 1 0 0 2 16 10 -
A. Watson * 36 3-6 1-1 1-3 9 2 0 1 2 8 12 -
N. Hickman * 21 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Bolton * 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 4 -
M. Smith 24 6-11 1-4 1-2 6 2 1 0 2 14 10 -
H. Sallis 21 2-3 0-0 1-1 5 2 0 0 3 5 6 -
B. Gregg 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jaquez Jr. * 39 12-25 1-3 4-4 11 3 3 1 2 29 20 -
T. Campbell * 38 5-16 1-5 3-4 2 9 2 0 1 14 10 -
D. Singleton * 38 2-7 2-5 2-2 5 1 1 0 0 8 8 -
A. Bailey * 34 7-13 2-2 3-4 5 0 1 0 2 19 10 -
K. Nwuba * 32 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 2 3 -
D. Andrews 11 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 3 3 -
W. McClendon 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Etienne 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter