Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Kansas State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.0% | 34.0% | -3.7 | ✗ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kansas State Wildcats +6 (75-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Livingston * | 38 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| O. Tshiebwe * | 37 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 28 | - |
| C. Wallace * | 34 | 9-11 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 20 | - |
| A. Reeves * | 30 | 1-15 | 1-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -5 | - |
| J. Toppin * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| CJ Fredrick Jr. | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| L. Ware | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Collins | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Thiero | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Nowell * | 40 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 10-11 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 23 | - |
| K. Johnson * | 39 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| N. Tomlin * | 30 | 6-8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| D. Sills * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| C. Carter * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. N'Guessan | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| I. Massoud | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Greene | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Iyiola | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter